US midterm polls: The ‘red wave’ that wasn’t

Democrats did better than most observers had projected in the crucial midterm elections in the United States, and the “red wave” that Republicans were expecting for did not materialise.

Republicans have only been able to gain six seats in the midterm elections, although historically the opposition party has been able to gain 50–60 seats.

Control of the US Senate is still up for grabs, and several crucial elections are still unresolved. Even if the Republican Party does manage to take control of the House of Representatives, it will likely be by a very slim margin.

President Joe Biden said on Wednesday that the midterm elections were a “wonderful day” for democracy and poked fun at Republicans by claiming that the “red wave” did not materialise.

US midterm polls © getty image


The Supreme Court’s decision to reverse abortion rights in June of this year energised the Democratic base and even convinced independent voters to vote.

According to Time, state representative Darrin Camilleri, a Democrat who was elected to the state senate, knocked on 130,000 doors before discovering that abortion was “the determining factor in turning Michigan deep blue.

According to Washington-based political analyst Aaron David Miller, a number of issues, including the Supreme Court’s decision to outlaw abortion earlier this year and the way the extreme elements of the Republican Party politicised the issue, drove both Democratic and independent voters to the polls.

He told India Today, “Add to it Republican candidates of lower calibre (often endorsed by Donald Trump) and Trump weariness and you can see the basis of significant Republican underperformance.

Many observers were startled by Republicans’ losses despite President Biden’s poor support rating and rising inflation.

According to Miller, this election should have seen significant Republican gains due to Biden’s declining poll numbers, historic levels of inflation, rising gas prices, and these factors.

Instead, it appears that the Republicans will have a slim majority in the House, and depending on a few crucial Senate races, the Senate will be controlled by the Democrats by a razor-thin margin.

But according to Sanford Gordon, a politics professor at New York University, the “red tsunami” was not what observers had predicted. According to prevailing opinion,

Republicans would pick up seats because of inflation, President Trump’s low support ratings, and the reality that the President’s party typically loses seats in midterm elections.

Gordon continued, “Trump threw his support behind several poor candidates, and his endorsement carries a lot of weight in Republican primaries.” “The best example is Dr. Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania.

Prominent analysts held the opinion that significant concerns in the suburbs would not be as important as things like John Fetterman’s bad debate performance.”

read also-Kevin Conroy longtime voice of animated Batman dies at 66


Democrats were extremely concerned that a Republican victory would have given more influence to conspiracy theorists who rejected the results of the 2020 elections and backed Trump’s fabricated allegations of voting fraud.

Because election doubters were running in significant races, it was claimed that the future of American democracy was at danger this election.

However, the data show that Republican candidates who contested the 2020 race did particularly poorly.

When asked if this indicates that American democracy is no longer under danger, David Miller responds that this election served as a type of stress test for the country.

“With a few rare cases, there was no violence, voter intimidation, or vote-tampering during the elections. But we must exercise caution as the general election draws near.

Republicans are still trying to alter how people vote at the local and state levels and manipulate the counting in their favour, and there are a lot of election doubters in Congress right now “Added he.

also read-Massachusetts Democrat responds after Twitter owner’s insult 

Sanford Gordon concurred that the threat to US democracy was still present. “Even if some of the more renowned election sceptics did not succeed in winning elections, there are still enough of them in Republican politics.

If Donald Trump pursues the candidacy, the fundamental question is whether Republican elites will be able to successfully coordinate their opposition to him in a way that prevents it.

Among the ranks and file of the MAGA (Make America Great Again) movement, Trump still has a dedicated base of support.

Leave a Comment